Originally Posted by cadetdrivr

FWIW, if UAL furloughs all the way up to the post-merger cutoff it represents a cut representing about 34% of the pre-covid "active pilots" and also does not make an allowance for retirements between now and next summer or any mitigations.

Of course, given the various limits for federal, state, and UPA advance notice requirements it unfortunately makes sense to notify more pilots than probably desired. It's easy for the company to cancel furloughs without penalty as they fine tune their staffing requirements.

But we are in uncharted territory and have no idea what demand will look like next year. Just because the official line is 30% does not mean it can't ultimately be cuts anywhere between 60% and 0%.