Gather round for Flyby making stupid predictions:
JB delivery schedule (pg 33):
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives...20form10-q.htm
A220s, 1 in 2020 and 7 in 2021.
Breeze deliveries start April 2021:
https://www.ch-aviation.com/portal/n...launch-to-2021
DL taking 6 A220-300s in 2020:
https://thepointsguy.com/news/airbus...led-in-mobile/
A220 production list (note MSNs
55142-55146 are unassigned):
https://www.abcdlist.nl/cseries/cseries.html
Mobile plant produces 1-2 A220s/mo:
https://leehamnews.com/2020/04/08/ai...es-by-a-third/
2020 A220s Mobile:
55069 DL (damaged in assembly)
55070 DL (flight testing BFM)
55075 DL on FAL
55080 DL
55084 DL
55085 DL
55099 B6 on FAL
2021 A220s Mobile (11 airframes):
55096 DL
55101 DL
55104 B6
55107 DL
55108 B6
55113 B6
55115 B6
55120 B6
55124 B6
55128 Breeze
55132 B6
2022 A220s Mobile:
55137 B6
Looking at all of the above it seems the 2021 Mobile FAL is showing about 5-6 airframes fewer than would be projected otherwise. I am going to make a wild guess and say B6 takes 5 more A220s in 2021, and possibly even pull 1 more delivery forward into 2020. The unassigned airframes could be slotted for Breeze, although it doesn't inspire confidence since DL and B6 have slots assigned but only 1 for Breeze so far. Delta has 7 additional projected deliveries for 2021, but again they aren't firmed up on the schedule yet, which might be telling as well considering DL already shows on the schedule for other 2020-2021 slots. Thoughts? Will Delta fill the unassigned slots? Will Airbus cut Mobile production to 1/mo?