Originally Posted by
Excargodog
or, more to the point, what if the cases keep going up but the deaths keep going DOWN?
https://ibb.co/RPBmmGJ]
https://ibb.co/chMj3L9]
Because cases have been going up since the 14 th of June approximately and deaths peaked in mid-April and have been coming down ever since.
There is a two week - three week lag between cases and deaths. The Jul 02 low in deaths coincides roughly with the jun 14 low in cases. If you need further proof look at the lag between initial spike in diagnosis and spike in deaths. Further keep in mind that spike in diagnosis was delayed due to unavailability in tests. You'll need data for late july to determine if the relationship between deaths and diagnosis is changing.