Originally Posted by
Excargodog
That’s assuming a lot based upon a comparison of only one year (2019). Certainly Jan -Feb appear to be down months - down 12 and 17% from base month and the drop off from August to September appears real - but the fact that one year ago we witnessed a roughly 4% rise between Jun and July that we aren’t seeing now - it just seems a little soft calling it a decline when we don’t really know what the year to year variance is preCOVID. Could just be noise.
And of course this year’s ‘school start’ may be greatly different from most school starts...
All true. But data from the previous three years is pretty similar, and in any event it's a lot more rational than pure speculation based on nothingness. In the end, it's another data-backed way to help interpret current data that may or may not be useful. That's it.