Originally Posted by
WutFace
Look man. You repeatedly do this.
You can't post stats in the middle of an outbreak as evidence of how good or bad something is going. It's like posting a mile split as your 10k time. You have to wait until the race is over. TX, AZ, CA, and FL are in the thick of it right now. And it's bound to get worse.
Don't count your chickens before they hatch.
And yet you’ve been constantly doing that all along, based upon the then-existing data. Sure, this is like a horse race, the guy leading in the backfield may not be the guy who crosses the line first, but at the time it’s the only data point we have. Tell me, do you SERIOUSLY believe that in the end - whenever that end is - Tx, FL, or AZ are going to exceed the death rate for NY or NJ? I’ll concede it’s not impossible, but it’s pretty damn unlikely.