Originally Posted by
Excargodog
And yet you’ve been constantly doing that all along, based upon the then-existing data. Sure, this is like a horse race, the guy leading in the backfield may not be the guy who crosses the line first, but at the time it’s the only data point we have. Tell me, do you SERIOUSLY believe that in the end - whenever that end is - Tx, FL, or AZ are going to exceed the death rate for NY or NJ? I’ll concede it’s not impossible, but it’s pretty damn unlikely.
You might be right. The current hotspots states may never get to the level of carnage that the New England states got to. But none of us know how bad it's going to be for the southern states. If deaths track proportionally to the cases arc, then we've got at least 4 more weeks of 1000+ deaths per day. That will add a lot to the tally.
Even so, New England had the misfortune of going first and caught unprepared. Now there's talk that the Federal government team, led by Kushner,
slow-walked support because the White House could lay the blame of the virus at the feet of blue state governors.
From the relevant article:
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020...-into-thin-air
Negligence that led to thousands of deaths.
It's the same with reopening to force everyone back to work. And now again with the schools. What will it take for people to realize that those in power don't care about them. Expendable lives to keep the machines turning. That's it.
So Texas may never catch up to New York. But at least we're starting to figure out why.