Originally Posted by
JetJock16
You're not taking into account attrition, upgrades, transfers, new Midwest flying (more people want out of ORD than in) and that by the time a new hire finishes IOE it will be peak season. All of these will result in about a 2 month or less reserve stint in ORD.
I hope you're right, but we haven't upgraded anyone at ORD since early OCT, and we still have 60 capts on reserve. Attrition has slowed in my opinion and will continue to do so as oil continues to be high, and age 65 will slow hiring at majors. Most of the first officers, and captains for that matter, who have bids to tranfer out of ORD have listed unattainable domiciles for their seniority and there are still 14 capt, and 11 F/O's with standing bids to tranfer in. Not including a bunch of EMB transitions that would like Chicago.
I think everyone in domiciles not named Chicago, get a false impression of how fast someone gets off reserve nowadays at ORD, but as of right now, we are crazy overstaffed.