Originally Posted by
SystemB
I generally agree with you on this being a highly probable outlook; however, I think that we could still be surprised as to how quickly things might recover after CV. Airline fundamentals were never better than 2019, as opposed to other eras. The other unique aspect of this situation is that people have “mothballed” themselves and are waiting for a resolution. If and when that resolution starts to happen (vaccines), I wouldn’t be surprised if, in spite of the economic predictions, people came out of their hibernation in droves. These really are uncharted waters.
I really don’t know what to expect with the recovery. The company could be shocked by how fast the recovery is, or we could be shocked at how fast they can furlough and bring people back. I’m waiting for training for the 737. I haven’t been on the thing for over 2 years and from what I can tell I only require a 12 day training footprint since I have previous time in it. On the flip side, I haven’t put on my uniform in 5 months, I’m definitely not going to get furloughed, yet they still haven’t assigned training. I’m like the sub sitting on the ocean floor in silent mode hoping the enemy can’t locate me.