Originally Posted by
globetruck
And in 10 years there will be 2 major airlines, a couple really ugly mergers, and people still out on furlough bypass.
Zero shortage of mainline pilots at any point in next 19 years.
Slight shortage of RJ pilots, defined as flying anything smaller than a MAX9 for Mesa.
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I could see a couple ugly mergers if next year is as bad as this year. I don't think we've ever gone 19 years without any hiring at decent places so that seems unlikely, although the more consolidation that happens the more likely it is. I would put forth that too much consolidation opens up opportunities for new entrants and with tons of well qualified pilots on the street they can start up fairly quickly.
If Mesa starts flying MAX9s then I might give up and use the IT degree I've been working on.