Originally Posted by pangolin

I used to think the 490 was greatly inflated. So I put on my analyst hat - which is what I am in my other life and figured this out.

Taking CA at each base we flew lines that were reduced to about 80% of normal this month. Pre Covid the company ran with 10% reserve coverage happily.

So I took the lines by captain and added the 10 % reserves then multiplied it by 80 percent to get the requirement. This is for September which is the best month we have had since covid.

I got the following numbers for overstaffing by base:

It's base, Requirement and current staff then overstaffing.

PHX CA 60 105 -45
PHX FO 60 96 -36

DFW CA 87 138 -51
DFW FO 87 136 -49

SDF CA 10 17 -7
SDF FO 10 15 -5

IAD CA 36 52 -16
IAD FO 36 66 -30

IAH CA 182 271 -89
IAH FO 182 278 -96

Total -

CA 208
FO 216

424 Overstaffed

Now Oct is WAY DOWN over Sept. I don't think the 490 is out of line. Even if they don't want to cut to the bone I think we can count on 400. You could use this to find the numbers lost in each base and then determine the displacements as well. I don't have time right now to do it but I do not think that the company is bluffing. The numbers are just the numbers and they don't lie.

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