Originally Posted by BluesClues

I can see a pathway to actually needing more pilots next year but everything would have to go perfectly right, which hasn’t happened over the last 6 months. I’ve listened to several of the leadership Q&A’s and reading the tea leaves, they’ve consistently been insinuating this AA codeshare is going to be huge. The words said were “growth on steroids”. I can easily see throwing a ton of routes up with all the new slots we get in NYC to grab market share if this thing passes the DOT. Also remember there is inefficiencies while transitioning to a new fleet, there is training float, and you have to carry reserves for both the 190 and 220. It’s not a 1 for 1 transition for pilots like it is for the planes, have to carry extra pilots.

I personally don’t see hiring happening in the 1Q of 2021 since nothing has happened as it should this year. But if this thing passes DOT and we don’t get major spikes of COVID again then I can see pilot hiring at some point next year.

Lastly, the furlough email is obviously a move to instill just enough fear to get everyone to fill out a call to action. It’s what I would do, you want as much pressure on Congress as possible to get more free money, why wouldn’t you. I’m not naive enough to think we won’t furlough next year, it’s definitely a possibility. But I just think that email was more of a political message than it was a furlough letter to employees.