I’ll give you a different canary though:
If the TA fails, and the company needs massive furloughs immediately to reduce cash burn, why haven’t they sent out any more furlough notices? That would certainly up the ante on voting, right? And more pressure for CARES extension? Even if notices went out tomorrow, they can’t go past 2850 until the end of the year. If the TA passes, they’re all cancelled anyway.
Speculate away.