Originally Posted by
theUpsideDown
Again, just read what I said. Of people who get the 'Vid, 2.8% (I said 2 because it's not like it's crazy high) will die as a result of Covid (through complications, 94%). Those are the numbers from John's Hopkins, it's the same data we're all using, you break it out however you want, but the % mortality for >70 get's kinda scary and I don't know how it contributes to the discussion.
What I am trying to reconcile is ...in 2017, due to natural attritian, 40% of anyone 80 or over died.. Those are numbers pre Covid. With 14 million Americans 80 plus years old, roughly 500,000 die every month(due to complication of old age and all other factors) If they have a 10% Covid infection rate, that means 50,000 per month die with "Covid"...but they were gonna die anyway, even without Covid. Since the vast majority of Covid deaths are elderly, are the Covid deaths really Covid deaths or really just normal attrition?
Am I misunderstanding the numbers I cited or losing a decimal place? Something, anything, that explains what at first blush appears to be "as expected" mortality numbers for the 80+ demographic
.IOW 200,000 Covid deaths....of which( 60%) or 120,000 are 75 + but they were going to be statistics anyway.