There appeared to be very close correlation with the last big increase in new cases through July and August with a discouraging flattening of passenger number growth. That hasn’t been reflected YET with the current upward trend in new cases. If it happens, the growth rate will stall this week and then it’s anybody’s guess when growth resumes. If it doesn’t happen, we’ll reach 1M well before Thanksgiving based on the current trend.
Its just really hard to tell. Many of you thought we would be slumming it at 350-550k right now because of the confluence of no leisure in October and no business travel. The assumptions backing that scenario proved to be faulty. We’ll see what happens. It is certainly interesting to watch, and I enjoy this thread when it’s not hobbled by sidebars.
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