Every recovery path is being modeled on an effective vaccine that 70% or more of the population takes. A recent poll showed HALF said they won’t be getting the jab. Can’t say I blame them. This isn’t anti vaccine. This is anti most rushed vaccine in the history of mankind for a virus that kills <0.8% population. People will do their own risk analysis and decide if it’s worth it to them.


Travel is stalled out at 25-35% of pre-pandemic levels and October is almost over, with worldwide hints of the start of the second wave. There is nothing so far to hint a recovery to 80% by next summer.