Originally Posted by
feltf4
understood. But what if those guys just come back? I’m assuming the company needs to account for that? Why not just put -50 in each category? I think there is a few single digits in there that would potentially cause a backfill, obviously not a large amount like before but still there is going to be some back fill. (Could be totally wrong)
If they come back then they come back. For the mgmt types, those jobs will likely be backfilled and someone else will come off the active list. For the medical/mil guys, they just have to eat it, but, statistically, there will always be medical/mil guys coming and going. They could have put -50, or -100, or whatever. I think they tried to put some realistic number based on the projected block hours for next year as well as giving flex for each B/E/S to lose some, as well as following the potential 190 retirements if the 1 for 1 sticks, hence a larger percentage of 190 reductions. It’s also likely the 220 will attract 190 guys in a similarly higher percentage than 320 guys. Fortunately for the company, it won’t really matter how it ends up. Whether we are more overstaffed in some seats than others doesn’t really matter to them at this point I don’t think, and if it comes to it, they can do more bids to balance as needed (likely will happen with the LR supp).
And yeah I agree there will be some (not a lot) of backfills. But the single digit ones were mostly/all senior bases, mostly airbus. I don’t see a lot of those guys going to BOS 220. Maybe a handful. I see it mostly coming from JFK/BOS 190, with some JFK/BOS 320...and looking at the numbers I just don’t see a lot of movement outside the vacancy filling. All a guess though. Haven’t had a new equipment bid in a long time...and given the stagnant environment and negative numbers across the board, bidding behavior is going to be different than it was even a year ago.