Originally Posted by flynavyj

personally think that if the industry does take a dump, or if this "recession" takes off and goes deeper, that yes, things will slow down. If the majors stop hiring, then movement will slow across the board, from bad regional to good regional, there won't be to many FO's leaving for Continental, nor many Captains leaving for Southwest, and upgrades may slow to a halt, even at any of our regionals (good ones, or bad ones) and we're all "stuck". So then, the options would be.

A. Stuck at Good regional as an FO, no upgrade in site, logging tons of SIC time for the foreseeable future. You're only hope is either find a company that IS hiring and doesn't require PIC (and the other applicants don't have that TPIC as well) or, that the industry recovers and you can move onto the left seat and finally start building PIC time.

B. Take the upgrade and stick it out at the bad company. You're stuck there when the economy is in the dump and have no clear view of a place to go when you leave. You're logging tons of TPIC time, and when the industry finally does come back to life, you have the option of being in that first wave of guys to leave (such as last year in the regionals).

Based on my thoughts, if you got stuck just several people prior to upgrade at RAH, you still might reach your dream job 1.5-2 years prior than you would have if you stuck it out at mesa....But this is all coming from a guy who's "stuck" it out at Trans States....good luck.