Ok here's what we do know both Alaska via Horizon, and Frontier via Lynx have proven that the Q400 is the most economical aircraft for the 100-400nm segments. Scope at CAL seems to be holding pretty tight for Jets but not for props. Plain and simple they could get as many 70 seat t-props as they can (for now).
You draw your own conclucions. There's no doubt in my mind that CAL will continue to re-structure it's regional feed. The way I see it (NOT THE WAY I WANT IT):
XJT- down to about 155 frames by 2010 with CAL.
RAH- Either gone altogether or just holding on the ERJ routes also by 2010 (In hopes of seeing the 170's in the blue tail that will never come.)
Colgan- up to about 70-80 Q400's by 2011.
Once again, I would rather see the flying go back to mainline, but that's my prediction. Flame away!
Last edited by Bond; 02-12-2008 at 04:12 PM.