Originally Posted by
RJSAviator76
There's our resident Eeyore!
So... I've also been playing with some numbers. So assuming present time to 59% seniority (plug captain), 0 growth in seniority numbers meaning we only hire to replace the attrition, puts the upgrade at just short of 11 years on the property for my class. Do you really believe that we will not expand at all?
No, but there's one place where your math and my math don't jive.
Its the 59% plug Captain. Around 1000 guys senior to me were bypassing upgrade a year ago for whatever reason.. lifestyle, commute, etc. (that's how my bid was set up too)
I'll bet you the Starbucks beverage of your choice that the vast majority of those will change their bid to first available now and for the foreseeable future. That extra 1000 guys is pretty substantial when you consider how few retirements we have every year. Adds at least 3 or 4 years (no growth)
I hope I'm wrong, I'd love to upgrade before I turn 50 and have a solid 15 years to pad my retirement, but unless something dramatic happens I just am not seeing the numbers to support that.
My own fault. I got here later in life than many of you.
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