Originally Posted by Stitches;[url=tel:3226796

3226796[/url]]We are looking at 2019 summer flying levels minus about 5% according to Gary’s messaging for June/July. Over the past year we have retired about 100 and another 550 or so via the early retirement. That puts us pretty close to optimal manning levels going forward.

Im expecting around 100 upgrades this fall to balance out the list followed shortly by some new blood in the training center early next year. I’d wager we will see 2012 hires upgrade this fall and a trickle of 2013/2014 hires by mid 2022. I would not be surprised to see upgrade drop down to the 6 year mark if things keep rolling along. Most of the 2015-2017 guys will be looking at an 8 year or less upgrade (less for the West coast guys) and I think it will stay around there for the foreseeable future.

none of this is based on any inside info, just reading the tea leaves.