Originally Posted by Proximity

We have some Captains who were hired in 2011, so we were at 10 years pre Covid.

From the most junior captain the start of the 2014-2020 hiring bubble is not very far (very few hires 2011-2013)...upgrade will likely fall under 10 years to more like 7-8 very shortly after things return to normal. There will be a burst of senior FOs who suddenly want to upgrade, but seat locks for west coast bases will keep the junior captain line around the traditional 62% system seniority line.

Zap will by bypassing upgrade by end of 2023 is my guess...