Originally Posted by
JonGoodsell764
Fake news. That’s what the recruiters will sell to new hires just like Envoy recruiters do. 20/month divided by your number on the seniority list. Maybe 100 above you will take jobs elsewhere. Based on that(factual) math the current bottom of the list is flowing at 8.3 years worst case scenario. And that’s IF the flow started today. DALPA will tie this up for quite a while. Stop spreading a false narrative.
I guess you can't do math. That's ok. No one's perfect.
2000 pilots
Assume 10% don't take it right away. (-200)
Assume another 10% leave for ulcc or other major which I think is completely reasonable. (-200)
1600 pilots flowing
1600 ÷ 240yr = 6.66 years
that's without retirements, training failures, ots straight hires to delta.
It's 7.5 years with zero attention paid to these factors. You think 5 is outrageous propaganda??
5-7 years is probably a very accurate estimation