Originally Posted by
Smooth at FL450
however if the current bypass ratio continues into the next 1000 upgrades, that puts a 2015 hire’s upgrade even earlier. There are about 900 FOs bypassing out of 7600 active pilots
Those guys were all eligible to upgrade but held out for a better domicile, to avoid reserve, or to get one more vacation bid in at their FO seniority. Then Covid hits and they find themselves stuck in the right seat for another 18 months. My bet is they find religion and the vast majority jump on the first upgrade opportunity they see.