Not any time soon (sorry, paywall)...

https://www.wsj.com/articles/self-dr...d=hp_lead_pos9

Also anybody who touts the alleged safety of Tesla on autopilot is talking total garbage...

The Tesla is statistically pretty safe, but that's due to a SYSTEM of automation COMBINED with human supervision. Sound familiar? It should. Neither the tesla "autopilot" nor the human gets credit for the good numbers, it's a combination of the two (automation has better focus/alertness, human can respond to the unexpected which of course they didn't program the AI for).

Those stats don't hold up very well when the "driver" is napping in the back seat, surfing the net, drinking beer, etc. The system needs both components to be better than either.

Also while humans may screw up regularly they almost invariably try to mitigate the damage... they very rarely drive straight into a solid object at full speed with the pedal down and no swerving/braking. That's autopilot's usual fail mode, and it tends to be fatal.

If society really wants this, the road infrastructure needs to modified to be conducive to automation and obviously perfectly consistent. Probably need to embed steel markers in the road for mag sensors on the vehicle... optical sensors are too problematic in weather, unusual atmospheric conditions, a truck spills paint on the road, etc. The freeways could probably be practically modified (over a ver long time frame), but the rest of the non-highway infrastructure would be monumentally costly, maybe pick and chose some main arteries.

Personally I've resisted the temptation to buy a Tesla because it might be too easy to rely too much on the automation when I commute work. Especially early or late.