WRT to the -700s, we have what? 450+? Isn’t their average age about 15 years? So if we figure a 20-25 year life cycle then we’ve got 450 -700s that need to be retired in the next 5-10 years. That’s a lot quicker retirement schedule than 30-35 annually.
I just can’t see any of them being around for more than 10 years. My gut feeling is that there will be more MAXes ordered fo accelerate their retirement. Also, let’s not forget the other kicker…..the inevitable acquisition of another airline. Most likely in my humble opinion another airline with a lot of newer Airbuses and a fat order book for even more of them.