Originally Posted by
mispoken
Time, technology, founder.
Seem over simplistic? That’s because it is. Investing for the long haul super simple.
Since you like complicated and metrics how about this;
On a trailing basis TSLA is 40x EV/EBITDA. Operating earnings are growing faster than sales. This is as of May of this year, last time I looked at any of that. Of course this metric is basically useless now, since the stock price has gone up. Regardless, If this continues, by that metric, Tesla is dirt cheap. They’re not even operating at scale yet. This also doesn’t take into account optionality such as subscription revenue.
That’s the problem with metrics, and why I largely ignore them. You can find one to fit your thesis any day. They sound smart but they’re mostly created to make people feel that way.
Last time TSLA was 40x trailing EBITDA was 2019. Its currently trading at 127 times EV/EBITDA.
Time, technology and founder is not an investment strategy. It's Hope and Dreams. It's sounds like you are willing to pay any price without regard to the return on your capital. I own a Tesla. It's a nice car. Would I pay 400k for a car that worth 100k brand new? Absolutely not.
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