Originally Posted by
But seriously
Air Whiskey has been in trouble before. I don’t disagree with you that this is bad news for them, but Kirby already said publicly that UAL will be eliminating all of its small RJs.
No one knows the financials behind AW, but they always seem to pull an inside straight and survive. I wouldn’t be shocked if they show up flying for AA/USAir (again) in a year or two.
I’m 3 for 3 on calling well over a year in advance the last regionals to shut down.... without a serious business model change both are in big trouble.
(Called Trans States well in advance... 2017; called Compass in late 2018)
There’s going to be consolidation, contraction, bankruptcies and merger/buyouts. The “safest” places to be will be the WO’s. Endeavor, AAG owned, Horizon. Mesa, Republic & Skywest will survive but will be much smaller. In that process will come stagnation as they shrink through attrition. The one that close will either jump to LCC, ACMI or will be recycled as new hires at a surviving regional.
Regional work rules at the WO’ , contracts, wages and compensation will all get good improvements, and the flow programs will be increased. At contractor jobs they can only raise the pay so much before bankruptcy. The WO’s can be run at a loss to keep feed alive.