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Old 02-23-2008 | 06:27 PM
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Oldfreightdawg
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From: B-737
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Originally Posted by Onfinal
Olddawg et al,

I would think that most of those deferrals are just keeping their options available, but have found gainful employment elsewhere in the industry. I realize that a new contract with a 30% increase may make them change their minds , but any guess on % of deferrals which would come back within the three years? Just asking for a educated guess here, I realize how things in this industry can change dramatically.

Onfinal
O.F.

Bingo!

You are absolutely correct. Hard to say. I know a lot of furloughees at FDX, UPS, MLOA, etc. Some I thought would never come back, but after talking with some, they seem to be "up in the air" (no pun intended). The last furlough in 1992-1997 we had about 50% return. It's running about the same today. What is confusing the situation is: what are the deferrals going to do?

It's a very subjective and personal issue, but if I had to guess it will be close to the 50-50 number. JMHO
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