Originally Posted by
NewGuy01
You missed the context of “continues to stagnate”. The ANC base just got 64 and 65 but they didn’t need to add pilots. This is for a base with only 89 FOs. There are 462 FOs in SEA. It’s not out of this world to see all SE flying go to QX…
Nearly all of the FAI flying went to QX. One could wait far, far longer than 18 months to see ANC.
This will be the scenario most applicants should consider if they intend on not commuting to ANC.
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Where are those numbers from? We have way more pilots in ANC and SEA than what you wrote.
Originally Posted by
OTZeagle1
Realistically, 8-18 months for ANC and PDX. Maybe sooner, but that would be my best guess.
The boogieman isn’t real, but QX will likely continue to grow up there. The base will likely stay about its current size over the next 3 years. At that point, ANC likely becomes the most senior AS base… pretty crazy, it was the junior base most of my career
Interesting you'd say ANC becomes the most senior base. Wouldn't the wildcard be the final decision on the SFO base? If that closes, there's only so many vacancies they can create in LAX. Not to mention as the Buses go away even LA Bus would have to close one day. Closing VX bases will leave only one CA base: LAX. This base has already trended most senior and I don't see anything on the horizon (no pun intended) to suggest otherwise. LAX will continue to suffer from forced displacements for the bottom guys in each seat as guys use displacement rights when the Airbus base(s) close up.
Just IMO but until all the Airbuses are gone, LAX Boeing goes senior.