Thread: UAL Vaccination
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Old 07-21-2021 | 07:23 PM
  #485  
Thedude86
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Originally Posted by ThumbsUp
It actually shows just that, but the person that made it wanted to show you raw numbers to convince you that the vaccine isn’t worth it. The easiest to understand is the number of cases since the end of the graph shows the two groups as being the same in absolute numbers. However, the percent of the unvaccinated adult population is 5.7 to 1 smaller. Because the absolute value is the same, the ratio could be inferred that an unvaccinated person is 5.7 times more likely to be hospitalized. Anyone would be laughed at, though, for making such a conclusion at a snapshot in time with such a limited sample.

My point is that the graph isn’t showing what you think it is.
I understand what you’re saying. You and the article do make sense. But if the vaccines are supposed to be 95% effective and when in contact with other vaccinated people it’s supposed to be practically 100%, and with 85% of the population vaccinated… those numbers seem awfully high regardless. I’m no calculus major but with those kinds of percentages I would think it should be more like 50 times greater of a chance to be hospitalized if you’re unvaxxed not just 2-3.

Maybe if only 25-50% of the population was vaxxed then your numbers would make more sense.