Originally Posted by
But seriously
I can’t even count anymore how many times I’ve been told that the 145/140’s are on their way to the scrap heap. This time is different… yep, heard that countless times too. I’m not saying it won’t happen this time, but I certainly wouldn’t take that as a given for transferring off the 145.
Even if they do decide to start shrinking it again, they could easily shrink the pilot group through attrition.
2024 is (was) the year for the EMB's. That hasn't really changed from even the bankruptcy days when they had to open their books. I'm sure that part (year) has been mentioned publicly in the distant past. Not sure if I can say more due to NDA. Without a clear okay from legal, I won't go into detail. Besides, their plans do change a little over time and I'm sure it's changed some since 2016. Covid may have made that more financially feasible to do sooner, with the glut of good used aircraft on the market cheap.
Shrinking isn't the plan, replacing is. The replacing will mean displacements. The shrinking comes later from the pilot shortage.... along with consolidations, mergers, buyouts and other messy things.