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Old 08-03-2021 | 02:14 PM
  #219  
fishforfun
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Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 2,583
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From: Hoping for any position
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Originally Posted by PilotWombat
While everything is still up in the air (no pun intended), it's definitely faster now. Prior to covid, I was supposed to hit 50% on the seniority list (well into non-NYC A range) in less than 10 years just due to mandatory retirements. Now with the early out, guys seeing the light and bugging out early, and the dramatic hiring we're seeing now, I wouldn't be surprised if that gets cut by a few years.

If you're willing to take NYC, I would expect an A position in <5 yrs, WB B in 7-8, and WB CA in, I dunno, 15? Something like 80% of the current widebody As are retiring in the next 6 years.
NYC A 2-3, WB B <5 (much less for 765) WB A will stay at 3000 seniority or below, unless we see some big purchases. These are actuals and current.
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