Originally Posted by Oldfreightdawg

68% of captains and 41% of first officers are above the age of 50. 53% of the total group is above 50. 86% of the total pilot seniority list (not including furloughees) is above the age of 45. From 2010 to 2020: 2981 pilots are going to retire. From 2021 to 2025: another 3497 will retire. The rest of the seniority list will be retiring by 2028. This is all based on age 65.

The jury is still out on how many guys will stay beyond age 60. Since AA still has a descent retirement, it's anybody's guess. The current thinking is 30% will retire when they had planned (age 60 or sooner), 30% will go another year of two (61-63), and the rest will stay to 65. Doing the math, if you are a young stud with a freshly minted 400 hour job at a regional, and you get hired at AA around the 2010-2012 time frame, you should be at 50% of the seniority list by 2022-2023 (10 year time frame). This assumes a "steady state" at AA for the foreseeable future.

Having said that, I don't think there is a lot of "steady state" in this industry.

Good luck.