Originally Posted by
wingtipwalker
I don't think that they will do away with the 1500 hour rul. There will be a new FAA Part 14X standard that comes out for an MPL license. The Europeans have been doing it for decades. Japan does it. You train for ~250 hours in airline specific training, then you move on to type training, and then you have an MPL certificate that only coverts to an ATP after you get more than 1500 hours.
Overseas they do that because most other countries don't HAVE a GA infrastructure which pilots can grow up in. I think here in the US, the airlines will just fund time building... that doesn't require regulatory changes, or much capital investment and they can stop doing it as soon as they don't need it any more. Either ad-hoc time building or maybe an academy format.
Because by the time they realize they need to do something it will be too late for major regulatory changes or setting up a new training infrastructure. It's easy to just rent ASEL in the US.