Originally Posted by
Erjpilot90
So my company came out with an article saying the majors will be hiring 10k pilots next year. 8k will come from regionals.
by my napkin math there’s about 16k regional pilots out there. Could this 2022 hiring spree by majors wipe out half of the regionals?
seems pretty crazy to me. How will this look? My regional is expected to lose about half our pilots next year (300/800). And we can only hire and train 5% of our group per month (40/800).
what will this look like in a year?
A few threads about this already, but the regionals will be decimated. The smaller ones won't exist anymore because the big ones will give huge bonuses to attract the few that remain.
The real problem is captains. The majors will be taking the captains at a much higher rate than FOs. Even if there were 16,000 regional pilots that were qualified for the majors, 1/2 of them are captains and will be gone in a year.
I said it before and I will say it again - if you are a captain at a regional today, you should be able to be at a major airline within the next 14 months. If you are a regional FO, get as many hours as you can and make sure your apps are in and update them weekly. You will be at a major very soon.