Originally Posted by
Tjeff
Yeah I don’t think it’s going to be this crazy for years and years to come. Everyone just realized they need to jump on pilots now. For example between now and the end of 2022 AA “plans” to hire approximately 2500 pilots. The 3 peak years 2024-2026 we retire about 2400 combined… AA hires like this for 2-3 years they have covered their retirements until almost 2030. I’m sure Delta and United’s hiring/retirement numbers look the same. It’s going to be triage mode for a while but it’s not going to be 5-10 years of absurd hiring numbers.
For factual clarification, the forecasted hiring in 2022 (Majors, LCC, and 2 Cargo) is just over 9,000.
For the rest of the decade, Boeing has gone on the record forecasting 6,000 per year for the US, on average. That is retirements, early outs, and growth.
Not as much as 2022, but repeated hiring that is enough to suck the regional pool dry.