I expect them to skip a month in early summer, and maybe again later in the fall. It will be strategic.

By skipping a month, that means that the WO Regional Airlines get to keep a handful of experienced captains which they will need to survive.

AA has done this in the past. In 2019, AA was hiring about 100 per month, but skipped August all together. 2017 they skipped October and December. Both were times that regional captains were needed so it stopped flow. Just increase hiring for a couple months prior, and a month after, and the net gain is the same. But it reduced the number of flows.

Once the AA WO regionals start parking airplanes in the late Spring next year leading into the summer, watch what happens.