Originally Posted by
Reactivity
Yes, of course you have to look at more than one week. Your post seemed to imply that it was "plummeting" that day when, other than a few brief excursions in either direction, it's been going precisely nowhere for more than four years.
The mistake everyone makes is assigning way too much importance to Amazon. ATSG doesn't make more money just because Amazon became a minority shareholder.
The revenue from current leases and operating agreements is already priced in. Now that Amazon has started buying their own aircraft instead of additional leases from CAM, and given that they could have anyone operate them, there is nothing on which to base any expectation of a significant increase in revenue from Amazon until they assign more aircraft to one of the ATSG airlines. CMI contracts are not likely to generate as much excitement as aircraft leases because you can bet the margins are much lower.
I've been buying ATSG shares a bit at a time over the last year or so. I think there's reason to believe that there will be growth in the stock, but it's going to be incremental, not astronomical.
meh, I’ve done better with Dodge and Shib. Once the stocks get over $10-$20 unless you’re doing options it becomes cost inefficient, and a poor use of time/value of capital. The same money into options returns a much better return. Spending $30 a share to earn $4 a share over a year isn’t appealing. Over 380% in Shib in one week. Tolerance, volatility, risk are issues, but if you study and learn it becomes second nature when to buy/sell. Yes, you could get in earlier, or out later and make more, but those fridge areas have the highest risk. Ride the wave, not the curl.