Originally Posted by
ZeroTT
I think multiple carriers will fail in 2022. No use discussing which ones as that just generates animosity.
but i do wonder if a surge of available pilots will help matters.
partially by improving the airframe/experienced pilot ratio
partially by reducing competition for new hires and the resources to train them.
Thoughts?
It’s a 121 queuing issue. There is a dearth of bodies early in the queue and increased outflow due to retirement and new growth at the very top. The dearth of entry-level bodies is the bottleneck. THAT is the limiting factor. You don’t make up for that by decreasing the number of regionals, although that certainly will happen. You must increase the number entering the pipeline which WILL happen, likely just getting them to 121 eligible in time for the next economic downturn.
For those already at a regional, fly your butt off and get out while there is still this much movement from retirements and get senior enough in your career destination to be furlough proof when the cycle inevitably repeats.