Originally Posted by
flyprdu
Of all the sentences you write, (which are plenty) this is the one that ****es me off the most.
You have zero experience in what levels of attrition will impact the operation. But yet you speak with certainty about what the people in management are thinking. You do this all the time. Your speculation is based on nothing but your own overconfidence and your small window into the industry.
The company has said very clearly they intend to grow. If attrition delays those plans, don't you think that's leverage?
I'm not saying to not have an opinion. Sure, we all can have that. But, damn dude, stop speaking like a prophet. You're not one.
Whixh is why it’s called IMO - In my opinion. You’re certainly free to disagree. No one has been able to correctly predict anything in aviation since about March 2020. Hopefully omicron is the last variant and the estimates are correct that Jan-Feb will be a loss but the rest of the year will be profitable. Hopefully being the key word.
As for impact in operation, you can certainly take your best guess. When things were melting down in the entire sector due to omicron and blizzards in Dec and early Jan, some airlines offered 200% to everyone just to show up to normal work. Some did 200, 300, even 400% pay for opentime pickup. One though paid 150% for premium trips but otherwise, cancelled flights due to lack of crew. No attempts at any 150% for showing up to work. Or 200, 300, etc for picking up trips. Guess who? We are shaping up to have a year that will break records in pilot hiring, largest in history, and one solution offered is just to hire more than planned in order to deal with attrition. Guess who?
Does that sound like desperation by any means?
Lastly…
“Grow” to you is not the same as “grow” to them. Growth to you and I means more airframes, more CAs, more newhires. Growth to them is measured in ASMs. Parking 4 A320s and replacing with 3 MAXes resulting in more overall seats is “growth” to them. Not for us. For us that’s 1 less airframe.
Keep that in mind, the definition of growth is not the same.