Originally Posted by pitchattitude

The union talked about this in the all call. Fully expected to happen. The whole reason for likely parking planes is lack of qualified FOs to become captains as the hemorrhaging continues.

The last bid was filled and left pilots that still had hours to upgrade. The next bid will probably be filled with displacements of the most junior qualified FOs to 145 captains. Many did not upgrade because they didn’t have seniority to hold the 175 and didn’t want to get seat locked on the 145.

Displacement to captain will happen, but displacement of FOs from 145 to 175 likely NOT going to happen. That’s the attrition that will see the fleet shrink and as long as they have captains to fill the 175 and enough displacements to fill the 145 they will still have some new hires on the 145 as well.

Haven't looked at the training flow plan, but as long as there are bodies to fill upgrade classes scheduled beyond the next regular bid, they won’t run the next one early. Union did say January bid is generally smaller and it is expected the April bid will be larger but no indication yet of how large.