Take the old rates of all the majors whose contracts ended in 2019, add 3-4% per year, maybe 6-9% for 2022, and see what you come up with. It’s roughly the Alaska proposal. Also, look at sun country. They are a small airline generally far behind everyone else in contracts. They just got $294 as their max rate. Thinking that 310/320/330 an hour is outlandish is not the way to be thinking about things.
delta/United are 283-285 an hour for 739/321. Here’s some math using 3% for annual raises and also using 4%. Also threw in some for 6 and 8% inflation for 2022, which is a bit more accurate.
2020 rates with standard increases:
3% is around $293
4% is around $295
2021 rates with standard increases:
3% is around $302
4% is around $307
2022 rates with standard increases:
3% is around $311
4% is around $320
6% is around $325
8% is around $330