No doubt there’s some attrition out of new hire classes and pilots in their first year, but it’s no where near 50%. The union publishes attrition figures on a monthly basis and while it is easily on pace to be higher than last year it is not the mass exodus these boards would have you believe.
Most of the attrition is from junior pilots who are leaving for better opportunities, our upgrade of four plus years that the company heralds as a great draw is likely about to go up with the upcoming Airbus displacement bid, so that may spur some more to seek better opportunities.