Originally Posted by
OTZeagle1
I don’t see any of this. I doubt more then a couple downgrades… all pretty much voluntary. Upgrade slides maybe towards 5 years. SFO, they can’t make up their mind. They think there are significant crew savings in closing it. I kinda think it will open in the 2nd displacement bid, 1-3 odds still it doesn’t ever open 😱… The back out of SFO is really pretty junior in the CA seat…. Maybe a mid 800 to 900 numbers, could possibly be displaced, but dude that is still really a pretty Junior pilot. I think many will volunteer to prevent themselves from being stuck on RSV at that 8-900 number… which is a solid line holder in every other base. Displacement off the back end is likely 1800-2200 which buys that dude very little. It will be fine! Check back in 45 days… this will be a nonevent, worry about nothing.
I mean, “involuntary downgrades” maybe a few. But bottom line is ALL Bus displacements are going to be California but the Boeing additions are ANC, SEA, PDX, and LAX. LAX is the only common overlap if they don’t open a SFO Boeing base. So LOTS of pilots will have to bid other bases and move or commute just to hold a CA spot. True, it’s technically not “involuntary” by definition to hold a CA spot. But let’s be honest, not being able to hold CA and having to commute is kinda a forced-choice. And displaced not holding CA in current base on any plane and go to another base just to hold CA is also a paid move by definition.