The CA shortage is here to stay indefinitely, but I think a lot of people are underestimating the FO shortage (even if temporary) around the corner as well. I know that goes against a lot of the rhetoric here but hear me out. Most of the new hires in class or with class dates soon having been building time since late 2019, or early 2020 before the hiring stopped at flight schools when instructors stopped leaving. Most people who got their CFI in 2020 sat on the sidelines for close to a year, and are only halfway or so to 1500 now. In addition the CFI market is saturated, asked anyone instructing in DFW, Phoenix, or South Florida. They are building 30-50 hours a month. The market is about to deplete the candidates who were on a normal trajectory to their 1500, and it will in some fashion be a speed bump in staffing in the next year or so. Whether that just means a general shrink in size across the board or what, is yet to be seen.