Originally Posted by
dera
The problem with all you are saying is that you need 20+ years to reach that point.
Yes, no, not really. This is predicated on our 52 777 PW’s coming back online. The company is counting on that and there back in the schedules starting in late May.
Can’t speak for DAL or AA. But UAL has more widebodies then AA & DAL combined. Our CEO wants to grow and dominate. Just like he’s buying 500 narrowbodies most of which are for growth. UAL will most likely place a large widebody order in the next 18 to
24 months. Many of those orders will be for growth and not just replacements.
Today I’d guess you’d need to have about 15 years to hold a good widebody long haul FO line. Based on retirements, massive hiring and possible significant international growth. It’s not out of the realm of possibility that a new hire today at UAL would be able to hold a good long haul widebody line at the 5 year mark (or less). Yes at that longevity they obviously wouldn’t have the significant vacation component.
But all else I described would hold true. Also a new hire today who lives in base can today hold reserve widebody (hiring into 777/787). If they just want to get paid and sit at home on reserve guarantee and maybe fly a trip every month or two (or even less frequent).
Additionally, today a newhire who wants to maximize days off could be a very senior narrowbody FO on the coasts in 3 to 5 years holding very productive trips and 18 or more days off a month.
https://liveandletsfly.com/united-ai...2GK9E-uqxWI8w8