I was just checking the AFPC website the other day... it looks like 11M's for 09 only have an overage of "2" spots. I wouldn't count on VSP for 11M's for 09. If anything (and I'm not sure if it's been announced yet or not) I'd bet on the bonus for 09; for those willing to stick it out another 10 years...
It's actually rather ironic... 2 years ago, they were paying dudes 80K plus to get out (when they were willing to leave for free), and now they are probably going to offer a bonus to keep dudes in. My hats off to all the VSP'rs who were able to cash in, what a great deal