Awful lot of prognosticating, hand wringing and teeth gnashing on this thread but there's a big difference between this and last time. Last time ICAO had already raised it and the US was moving into compliance. This time we are ahead of ICAO and that's gonna a create a lot of issues. I say that makes it less likely. I say Mr. Rogers (Lindsey) is just attention seeking as usual. Even airline managements won't get behind this because keeping fat cats at the top of the seniority list longer is counterproductive and will scare even more entrants out of this industry.