Originally Posted by hummingbear

I’ve long been banging this drum, but years are a terrible indicator of how long it takes to do something because hiring is not a constant flow. There are times where a few hundred seniority numbers represent a decade’s disparity in hiring numbers, vs today where a single year will span a couple thousand. Jr. WB CA here is presently around 35%. Assuming all other factors remain the same, the amount of time it takes someone to reach that percentage varies greatly based on their hire date.

Having said that, it’s still not entirely clear to me whether he’s talking about upgrading at HAL or UAL, & what exactly he’s thinking about doing with commuting, but I’d agree with the above that location should probably be the primary consideration. Of everything one might be weighing, wanting to live in HI would be the biggest strike against coming to UAL by far. After that, you’d have to do your own calculus on relative career progression against pre-retirement years remaining. Work rules would probably be the lowest consideration, but hopefully someone who’s done both can sound off on that…