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Old 03-20-2008 | 05:14 PM
  #19  
johnpeace
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Joined: Jul 2007
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From: ASA FO
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My guess is that competetive hiring mins at most regionals will come up very quickly, due to the slowdown. Possible exception for the usual bottom feeders.
I'm not so sure about this, I guess we'll see.

From what I have seen, the supply of 1000+ hr applicants is exhausted. The only airlines that can hold to higher mins are the ones that don't need any more pilots. Presently, this means pretty much everyone...but that could change.

For instance: suppose (and this is not even a hypothesis, just a 'what if') ASA were to absorb 20% of Comair flying and all Mesa Delta flying east of Texas (I don't even know if Mesa operates west of TX for DAL...just an example). If that were to happen, we'd (ASA) need more pilots ASAP.

If we insisted on 1000+ hr applicants, we'd never fill the seats. All of the 1000+ hr applicants who wanted to work for ASA (or any other regional) already do.

This present condition is sort of unique and interesting: demand is slowing, costs are increasing...but there's still a shortage of qualified pilots. With oil driving training costs even higher and airlines moving into a less profitable era, I would not expect this shortage to be remedied anytime soon.

It'll be interesting to watch.
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